Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 267.029428 302.258556 341.685684 389.326030 445.655913 510.538990 591.508454
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 223.299090 271.430216 330.473756 409.284081 513.341633 648.386285 840.892183
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 192.268334 244.436288 312.304296 409.067942 546.890990 741.682936 1048.480911
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 166.853683 219.247675 290.457910 397.221749 558.582230 802.879567 1221.131207
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 147.964560 199.734630 272.677101 386.748323 568.141005 859.868091 1398.566851
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 138.785878 192.376244 270.631259 398.333108 612.309797 979.074069 1714.424099
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 128.840475 182.569170 263.411616 400.204571 640.055713 1075.076440 2015.511741
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.350520 170.759029 251.586933 392.560607 649.452373 1138.761090 2269.965564
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 111.071176 163.128306 245.401903 393.318963 673.636208 1235.359100 2630.150723
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.947427 153.395463 234.735263 384.686756 678.340982 1292.807101 2916.999575
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.997145 146.641607 228.318023 382.792341 695.739289 1381.031427 3318.678670
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 89.035879 135.957783 214.240682 364.964044 677.705831 1385.204537 3486.810922
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 87.048733 135.246230 217.637247 381.330464 735.769096 1586.299539 4355.847367
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 85.582023 135.302262 222.412637 401.136658 805.667909 1839.308788 5564.776163
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 81.483811 130.423606 217.683879 400.913741 829.317043 1976.497869 6448.757116
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.320982 123.282029 208.113244 389.363820 823.680853 2029.413720 7030.748926
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.784739 116.967412 199.608212 379.150080 819.743799 2087.028512 7682.247645
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 70.134920 115.783302 200.859394 390.447504 873.073709 2340.479721 9506.680202
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 67.546164 112.676350 198.059717 392.272342 901.707098 2523.879536 11166.231851
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 64.184787 107.906206 191.562527 384.818463 903.475168 2615.267515 12391.737887
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.899608 105.033204 188.683531 385.558003 928.797101 2802.613241 14491.497024
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.895333 100.604724 182.283795 377.139421 925.869169 2881.823800 15936.835724
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.707377 97.635385 178.714932 375.291724 942.604942 3047.487647 18341.886249